Brush Fire Danger: Extremely High

Due to our dry spell, conditions are prime for brush fires to get started. There have been numerous brush fires from around the state. One in Shelby County closed I-74 for a few hours. There is another brush fire in Tippecanoe county near Buck Creek and Lafayette.

Conditions are very favorable for brush fires to develop. Be careful if you have a fire or are a smoker. Cigarettes have caused a few brush fires.

Tomorrow

Thursday: It is going to be another dry and mostly sunny day tomorrow. The day will start with temperatures in the low 50s (51) and will soar in the afternoon into the mid 80s. (86) Winds will be light from the East shifting from the South East in the afternoon at 5-10mph. Temps overnight will cool into upper 50s to low 60s.

Severe Threat For Today

Today: It is currently a muggy 80º here at the house. We are on our way to a high of 90º later today. Due to the front slowing a little, thunderstorms will be here in the afternoon instead of the morning. This will allow for more destabilization in the atmosphere with the heating of the day. I expect storms to arrive in the area anytime between 2-8 today. Below are current scenarios of the weather right now. The severe storm threat for today is pretty marginal.

 The main threats with any storms that can be severe today will be gusty winds and large hail.

Today's Forecast

Today: It is another dry hot day. It is currently 83. The high for today was 89. Dewpoints are currently in the low to mid 40s and humidity is in the mid 20%. This in turn allows for an elevated fire danger for this afternoon. Winds will remain light at 5-10mph. A high pressure center is responsible for the mostly clear sky and light winds. The high pressure center is located in Southern Indiana. Thanks to the desert-like air mass, temps will fall rapidly this evening. We will see mid 70s by 8 and mid 60s by mid night. It will remain clear for the evening hours.

Week ahead (June 9-16): Temps will be in the 90s for tomorrow, Sunday, and possibly Monday. Late Sunday-Early Tuesday show rain and thunderstorms. Storms will start up Sunday evening, these storms look pulsey in nature, which means they will peak in intensity very quickly and fade away just as fast. The main line of storms will move through Monday evening. There appears to be enough  moderate wind shear and moderate CAPE or instability for isolated severe storms to develop. I will keep an eye on what new data says in the coming days. After that, it will be dry through June 20. Temps will be cooler neat week with temps ranging from the mid-upper 70s to the mid 80s.

Tropical Update: I'm not an expert at tropical weather, but I will give it a whirl. There appears to be a tropical storm that will impact the East coast June 19-21. The models keep it just off the coast, but it has the potential to make landfall in the North Carolina area. Winds with this storm are projected to be 40-55mph. It is possible however that this storm may be a hurricane. We will have to wait and see.

Today's Forecast

Wednesday: The temperature is currently 68º under clear skies. Expect some clouds, more specifically cumulus clouds,  to bubble up in the afternoon as our high temperature maxes out around 80º (80). I will go for a partly cloudy-mostly cloudy sky for the afternoon hours. It will be very similar to yesterday. Winds will be 5-10mph with an occasional gust to 15mph. As night falls, clouds will tend to burn off, but a few may still remain. Temps during the evening hours will fall into the upper 50s. (59 around midnight)

Week Ahead: Conditions will remain dry through Monday with 90s likely for the weekend. The weekend will also feature higher dew points and humidity making the air stickier.

Today's Forecast

Tuesday: Skies will remain sunny with a cloud here and there in the afternoon. A widely isolated shower is possible in the afternoon, but chance of precip. is 15%. Temps will top out in the mid to upper 70s (77). Winds will be from the N at 15-20mph with gusts as high as 25mph. As night falls, a couple will clouds will linger. Temps will be in the mid 60s for the evening hours.

The week ahead: Temps will gradually rise through the week, We will see the 80s by Thursday (possibly tomorrow) and the 90s will return by Sunday. The next best chance for rain is Tuesday. It looks like a line of storms will move through the area. It appears a severe threat may exist for Tuesday. I will keep an eye on it and see if the severe weather threat will hold up for next Tuesday.

Today's Forecast

Today: Clouds will gradually decrease through the afternoon. Rain showers will also continue until the cloud deck moves away. Temps will rise into the upper 70s to near 80 as clouds decrease (77). Winds will be 8-14mph with gusts as high as 21mph. As night falls, skies will be mostly clear with temps in the mid to upper 50s.