Sunday, January 22, 2012

UPDATE ON SEVERE THREAT

The Storm Prediction Center has included us in the SLIGHT risk category for tonight. We have an elevated risk for wind damage tonight and a risk for an isolated weak tornado. A MODERATE risk for severe weather has been upgraded in Southern Indiana. Here, there is a higher possibility of a tornado, a very high risk for wind damage, and a risk for large hail. This increase in threat is a direct result of surface CAPE forecast to be farther north. This increase instability means that the thunderstorms will be stronger than they would have been. I believe my thunderstorm map 2 posts ago will hold up. The timing is still the same (between 11-2a.m.)

Meanwhile, places in Dixie Alley will see a high risk for a tornado. Here, strong and long-lived tornadoes are likely.

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